Not everyone is being taken in by the giant Psy Op being organised in the Greater Middle East by the CIA, Mossad and NATO.
Israel is rejoicing, secretly, that Egypt is now much more weak and much more poor.
The mainstream media, which secretly loves Israel, is full of joy.
Did everything change for the better when Obama came to power, or when Marcos was toppled, or when the Shah left Iran?
Not everyone believes that Egypt is going to become a strong and prosperous Democracy.
On 12 February 2011, Shashank Joshi, an Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, asks if it is too early to celebrate in Egypt?
According to Joshi:
1. Over the last 60 years, Egypt has been run by military elites who are deeply linked to the civilan elites.
The military will suffer enormous losses, both financial and political, if there are genuine democratic reforms.
2. An Egyptian government will find it difficult to oppose US policy on Israel, because the Egyptian military will not want to lose its flow of US aid.
In Pakistan, the military has stripped the elected leaders of control over foreign policy, and this could happen in Egypt.
3. Egyptian Defence Minister Mohamed Tantawi, known as 'Mubarak's poodle', has resolutely "opposed both economic and political reforms that he perceives as eroding central government power".
4. Tantawi may keep the military in power and only give 'superficial powers' to the 'fractured opposition'.
The Turkish army has toppled four governments since 1960 and 'still lurks just under the surface of that country's democratic institutions.'
5. Both Lebanon and Palestine have had their problems with democracy and elections.
6. Problems such as unemployment and inflation will hit an inexperienced and fragile Egyptian government.
Instability has already caused grave damage to Egypt's economy.
There will be demands to increase food subsidies.
Tourism will continue to suffer.
7. If the government cannot pay workers and ensure social welfare, anti-democratic forces could gain in power.
Cairo by gamal_inphotos
On 11 February 2011, Jennifer Ludden pointed out that analysts fear that democracy is still an uncertainty in Egypt r
Among the points made:
1. Jason Brownlee, of the University of Texas at Austin questions whether Egypt's military really wants a true democracy.
He says:
"I don't see evidence the military is willing to go backstage.
2. According to analyst David Patel of Cornell University:
"There are tens of thousands of members of the regime and the military-industrial complex.
"How many of those people are going to see their patronage based-positions challenged?"
3. Egyptian military officers own a share in just about every industry in the country, from road construction to car assembly to tourism.
"To investigate the transgressions of the regime is to take it directly into the military economy," says Robert Springborg of the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School.
Military leaders have "less than zero interest in having an investigation of that.
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The toppling of Mubarak has already done great damage to Egypt.
* Growth may fall to as low as 1%
* Big price rises
* Investment outflows of up to $1 bln a day
* Key tourism revenues take "big hit" (Egypt inflation to rise ...)
Middle East turmoil threatens vicious economic cycle
